Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.002642 0.002824 0.003019 0.003247 0.003506 0.003794 0.004141
2024-10-20 0.002287 0.002517 0.002779 0.003103 0.003498 0.003973 0.004604
2024-10-27 0.002102 0.002367 0.002681 0.003088 0.003617 0.004302 0.005298
2024-11-03 0.001878 0.002142 0.002463 0.002892 0.003469 0.004254 0.005471
2024-11-10 0.001795 0.002079 0.002433 0.002924 0.003616 0.004617 0.006316
2024-11-17 0.001737 0.002038 0.002425 0.002979 0.003797 0.005056 0.007412
2024-11-24 0.001658 0.001965 0.002365 0.002953 0.003853 0.005308 0.008262
2024-12-01 0.001620 0.001940 0.002368 0.003014 0.004045 0.005819 0.009845
2024-12-08 0.001563 0.001887 0.002325 0.003002 0.004115 0.006128 0.011147
2024-12-15 0.001499 0.001820 0.002260 0.002949 0.004110 0.006290 0.012174
2024-12-22 0.001476 0.001808 0.002270 0.003013 0.004312 0.006915 0.015018
2024-12-29 0.001451 0.001791 0.002272 0.003062 0.004494 0.007550 0.018681
2025-01-05 0.001401 0.001739 0.002222 0.003029 0.004532 0.007899 0.021963
2025-01-12 0.001334 0.001660 0.002128 0.002916 0.004400 0.007802 0.023030
2025-01-19 0.001299 0.001624 0.002098 0.002909 0.004480 0.008285 0.028719
2025-01-26 0.001225 0.001531 0.001975 0.002734 0.004197 0.007710 0.026017
2025-02-02 0.001205 0.001515 0.001971 0.002764 0.004343 0.008392 0.035438
2025-02-09 0.001190 0.001507 0.001978 0.002814 0.004541 0.009322 0.055650
2025-02-16 0.001161 0.001475 0.001946 0.002791 0.004575 0.009743 0.076651
2025-02-23 0.001150 0.001470 0.001956 0.002847 0.004795 0.010954 0.191969
2025-03-02 0.001126 0.001444 0.001932 0.002835 0.004857 0.011603 0.580580
2025-03-09 0.001097 0.001409 0.001890 0.002787 0.004821 0.011831 3.350012
2025-03-16 0.001089 0.001407 0.001902 0.002845 0.005063 0.013511 NaN